Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000919 0.000955 0.000992 0.001033 0.001076 0.001120 0.001170
2025-10-05 0.000831 0.000882 0.000935 0.000995 0.001062 0.001133 0.001216
2025-10-12 0.000784 0.000846 0.000914 0.000992 0.001080 0.001179 0.001296
2025-10-19 0.000747 0.000818 0.000896 0.000988 0.001097 0.001220 0.001373
2025-10-26 0.000713 0.000790 0.000876 0.000980 0.001104 0.001250 0.001435
2025-11-02 0.000690 0.000772 0.000866 0.000982 0.001123 0.001292 0.001513
2025-11-09 0.000664 0.000749 0.000847 0.000971 0.001125 0.001313 0.001565
2025-11-16 0.000640 0.000727 0.000830 0.000960 0.001125 0.001330 0.001612
2025-11-23 0.000631 0.000724 0.000833 0.000975 0.001157 0.001389 0.001716
2025-11-30 0.000618 0.000713 0.000828 0.000978 0.001173 0.001427 0.001794
2025-12-07 0.000599 0.000695 0.000812 0.000966 0.001170 0.001439 0.001835
2025-12-14 0.000580 0.000676 0.000794 0.000951 0.001162 0.001443 0.001865
2025-12-21 0.000565 0.000663 0.000783 0.000945 0.001165 0.001464 0.001920
2025-12-28 0.000540 0.000635 0.000753 0.000913 0.001132 0.001432 0.001896
2026-01-04 0.000528 0.000625 0.000745 0.000910 0.001138 0.001455 0.001957
2026-01-11 0.000518 0.000615 0.000737 0.000907 0.001145 0.001480 0.002021
2026-01-18 0.000506 0.000604 0.000727 0.000900 0.001144 0.001493 0.002067
2026-01-25 0.000498 0.000597 0.000723 0.000901 0.001156 0.001526 0.002146
2026-02-01 0.000487 0.000586 0.000712 0.000892 0.001152 0.001534 0.002185
2026-02-08 0.000476 0.000574 0.000701 0.000883 0.001147 0.001541 0.002222
2026-02-15 0.000474 0.000575 0.000706 0.000895 0.001175 0.001599 0.002352
2026-02-22 0.000468 0.000570 0.000703 0.000898 0.001188 0.001634 0.002443
2026-03-01 0.000458 0.000559 0.000692 0.000888 0.001181 0.001637 0.002476